: Problem personal debt levels, especially for people under 25, in the UK have risen since last year according to the Consumer Credit Counselling Service (CCCS). In a report released this week they revealed that the average client aged under 25 coming for counselling in 2005 owes Ј15,000. The report also states that “More young people are getting themselves into situations where they find themselves unable to meet their unsecured credit commitments.”CCCS chairman Malcolm Hurlston said, "The growing trend for young people to get into these amounts of problem debt is a concern. Bankruptcy figures are soaring, and this rise may be accounted for by the young who are without assets and who have overspent on credit cards and personal loans These trends are a natural consequence of the desensitization of borrowing - credit cards have blurred the distinction between borrowing and spending and for many young people, student loans have made borrowing normal..”Financial comparison site Moneynet ( moneynet. co. uk ) believes that, students face a potentially ‘calamitous’ problem with their credit histories on graduation thanks to the now inevitable prospect of leaving college or university with high debt levels. Moneynet CEO Richard Brown said “The majority of graduates are looking at servicing a minimum debt of Ј15,000 until their mid-thirties.”University debts are now seriously starting to cause problems for the younger generation. The debts generated at college have for many combined with the spiraling house prices forcing them to stretch themselves financially. Those affected include both those prospective first-time buyers trying to get on the housing ladder and parents trying to help out their children with cash or by being a mortgage guarantor.Another problem area, although banking organization APACS is keen to emphasize that it only affects a minority of people, is that of credit card debt. Jennifer Brumby from the Newcastle branch of the CCS said, "People are now taking out credit to pay off their credit. But when you get that far into debt, you are really on a slippery slope. People will take out a loan to pay off their credit card and then find they haven't got enough money to survive on so they start running up their credit card bill again and the whole cycle starts over.”Following accusations by the Citizens Advice Bureau - adviceguide. org. uk/ (CAB), it seems that the situation does not appear to be greatly helped by the use of payment protection insurance (PPI), which is specifically designed to help those potentially liable to fall into debt by repaying personal loans or credit card debt if they fall ill or lose their jobs and are therefore no longer able to meet their financial commitments. The charity found that PPI is failing many of those who need it most, adding to their debts instead of protecting them against hard times. The CAB said that, “in many cases it is more about providing an additional source of profit for the financial industry than about protecting consumers”. The premiums for policies when added to the full amount being borrowed can increase the cost of borrowing on some credit cards by up to 9% per year. The CAB has lodged a “super complaint” on behalf of their clients, to get the Office of Fair Trading to launch an investigation into the issue.The CAB stated several different problems with the policies including:- common difficulties such as bad backs or mental health issues which often lead to claims, are being excluded to prevent payouts- self employed or contract workers are frequently excluded from claiming- time limited payout periods reduce the length of time that claims will be paid out for- low payment amounts being paid for successful claims, usually only covering only the possible minimum payments on a loan- delays in payments being made following the initial claim and leading to increased financial difficulties for the claimant CAB has said that 85% of its clients who had tried to claim on their PPI policies had been turned down, however the industry is claiming that only 15% of claims are rejected.David Harker, CAB chief executive, said "We badly need an official investigation of how this market is operating, leading to effective regulation that ensures a fair deal for all consumers, and which also protects the most vulnerable".More of the nation’s young adults are coming out of university and starting their working life with greater debts. Many first-time buyers are finding the cost of housing beyond their finances. More emphasis is being placed on individuals providing for their own long-term future privately. Now the financial safety nets are being shown to contain so many holes that more people are falling through than being caught. The financial future of a generation of young Britons is looking bleak. As more financial choice is being made available to people, less automatic help is becoming accessible from the government and more responsibility is also being required of consumers themselves. Debt may for most people, have become a generally accepted part of modern UK life, and should no longer be seen as something to be scared of, but discovering how to control it and not let it take over control of your life is an important lesson which is best learned as early as possible.
Saturday, October 1, 2016
Wednesday, September 28, 2016
An analysis of journal communications jrn
Journal Communications (JRN) is comprised of seven essentially separate businesses: The Milwaukee Sentinel, Community Newspapers, Television Stations, Radio Stations, Telecommunications, Printing Services, and Direct Marketing. The company’s five reportable segments do not exactly match these seven businesses; however, I believe an investor should analyze JRN on the basis of these seven businesses and their constituent properties, rather than as a single going concern with five reportable business segments. Additional reasons for this belief will be outlined below. For now, it is sufficient to say that if Journal Communications were to divide into seven separate public companies, the combined market value of those companies would be substantially greater than JRN’s current enterprise value. Simply put, the sum of the parts would be valued more highly than the whole. Journal Communications has an enterprise value of just under $1 billion. Pre-tax owner’s earnings are probably around $125 million. So, JRN trades at eight times pre-tax owner’s earnings. That’s cheap. Journal’s effective tax rate is 40%. That is an unusually high rate. Journal’s media properties would likely generate more after-tax income under different ownership. The difference would be material; but, for anyone other than a highly leveraged buyer, tax savings would not be a primary consideration. When evaluating Journal as a going concern, it is perfectly appropriate to treat the full 40% tax burden as a reality. These taxes reduce owner’s earnings by $50 million. With after-tax owner’s earnings of $75 million and an enterprise value of $1 billion, Journal’s owner’s earnings yield is 7.5%. Remember, this is the after-tax yield. The pre-tax yield is 12.5%. When evaluating a company, it’s best to use the pre-tax yield for purposes of comparison. Last I checked, the 30 – year Treasury bond was yielding 4.63%. So, looking at JRN’s current earnings alone, the stock appears to offer a large margin of safety. This is especially true if you consider the fact that earnings yields offer more protection against inflation than bond yields. They don’t offer perfect protection. But, with stocks, there is at least the possibility that nominal cash flows will increase along with inflation. The cash flows generated by bonds are fixed in nominal terms, and therefore offer no protection against inflation. When evaluating a long-term investment, such as a stock, I do not use a discount rate of less than 8%. This reduces JRN’s margin of safety considerably. Instead of being the difference between 12.5% and 4.63%, Journal’s margin of safety is the difference between 12.5% and 8%. Is such a margin of safety sufficient? Maybe. When evaluating a prospective investment, I first look at the risk of a catastrophic loss. What is the magnitude? And what is the probability? For my purposes, a catastrophic loss is defined as any permanent loss of principal. The risk that I’ve overvalued a business is always greater than my risk of catastrophic loss, because I insist upon a margin of safety. A catastrophic loss is one that wipes out the entire margin of safety. I can make a bad investment without suffering a catastrophic loss. For instance, most mutual funds are bad investments, because they underperform alternatives. However, mutual funds do not usually carry a high risk of catastrophic loss. In fact, they generally have a low risk of catastrophic loss, because they are highly correlated to the overall market. It’s easiest to understand this concept if you think of valuing companies as being a lot like writing insurance. Even if reality exceeds your expectations in nine out of every ten cases, a terrible misjudgment in the tenth case can cause you great harm. It isn’t just how many mistake you make. It’s also how big they are. Some stocks, like Google (GOOG), trade at prices that allow for catastrophic losses of considerable magnitude. Other stocks, like Journal Communications, trade at prices that only allow for very small losses to principal. However, there is also the matter of probability. How likely is it that a Google shareholder will suffer a catastrophic loss? I don’t know. I’m not even willing to hazard a guess. In the case of Journal Communications, I am willing to stick my neck out. I believe an investment in JRN carries a very low risk to principal – considerably less than, say, an investment in the S&P 500. Why? Because Journal Communications is trading at a very modest owner’s earnings multiple. But, that isn’t the only reason. You shouldn’t look at Journal solely from a going concern perspective. JRN mainly consists of readily saleable properties. The assets backing shares JRN are quite substantial: Publishing The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel: Milwaukee’s only major daily and Sunday newspaper. The Sunday edition has the highest penetration rate (72%) of any Sunday newspaper in the top 50 U. S. markets. The daily edition has the third highest penetration rate (49%) of any daily newspaper in the top 50 U. S. markets. The paper has a daily circulation of 240,000 and a Sunday circulation of 425,000. The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel also operates three websites. JSOnline and OnWisconsin generate advertising revenue. PackerInsider is a subscription – based website. Over the last three years, both daily circulation and Sunday circulation have decreased by about 1% annually. Full run advertising linage has also fallen by a similar amount; however, after accounting for increases in part run advertising and preprint pieces, it appears there has been no real decrease in total advertising. The Journal Sentinel generates approximately $230 million in revenue. Advertising accounts for 80% of the Journal Sentinel’s revenue (the other 20% is circulation revenue). Advertising revenue is somewhat cyclical, and may currently be above “normal” levels. It’s difficult to value the Journal Sentinel, because JRN places the Journal Sentinel and its community newspapers under one reportable segment. Even if the numbers for the Journal Sentinel were broken out, I would have still have some difficulty coming up with an exact figure, because I’m not an expert on newspapers. Having said that, I can’t see how the Journal Sentinel could be worth less than $250 million or more than $500 million. If I had to put a dollar figure on the Journal Sentinel, it would probably be in the 250 – $300 million range. I’d like to think this is a conservative estimate, but I don’t know enough about newspapers to be sure. JRN’s failure to break out the numbers for the Journal Sentinel apart from the community newspapers complicates the issue. However, I am quite confident the Journal Sentinel is worth no less than $250 million. It’s even more difficult to value JRN’s Journal Community Publishing Group. It consists of 43 community newspapers, 41 shoppers, and 9 niche publications (automotive, boating, etc.). The group generates about $100 million in revenue. I can’t value this group apart from the Journal Sentinel, because of the aforementioned lack of disclosure (combining the group with the Journal Sentinel for reporting purposes), my inability to find enough public information on community newspaper businesses, and other such factors. The best I can do is offer an educated guess as to the combined value of JRN’s publishing business. My best guess is that, taken together, the Journal Sentinel and the community newspapers are probably worth somewhere between $300 million and $500 million. Broadcasting Journal Communications owns 38 radio stations. The most important of which are: WTMJ-AM Milwaukee, KMXZ-FM Tucson, KFDI-FM Wichita, and KTTS – FM Springfield (MO). All four of these stations are number one in their market. JRN’s radio stations generate about $80 million in revenue. Journal Communications owns seven television stations. Almost all of these stations are ranked as one of the top three in their market. Three are NBC affiliates, three are ABC affiliates, and one is a Fox affiliate. JRN owns two stations in Milwaukee, two in Idaho, one in California, one in Michigan, and one in Nevada. Journal’s TV stations generate about $90 million in revenue. Again, it’s too hard for me to value JRN’s TV stations and radio stations separately. Taken together, I believe they’re worth somewhere between $250 and $450 million. Telecommunications JRN owns a 3,800 mile network in the Great Lakes region. Norlight Telecommunications generates about $150 million in revenue. I’m very hesitant to make any attempts to value this division, because I don’t understand the telecom business well enough. Having said that, I don’t see how it could be worth much less than $350 million. Miscellaneous I don’t like the printing services and direct marketing business at all. I have no idea how to value them. They do have revenues though; so, they are probably worth something to someone. Revenues from these two businesses exceed $100 million, but they are not very profitable. Real Estate JRN owns a surprising amount of unencumbered real estate. For the most part, such properties are closely tied to one of JRN’s operating businesses. As long as JRN continues as a going concern, much of the real estate could not be sold. Just to give you some idea of the extent of these properties, it appears JRN owns a little less than two million square feet – much of which is in or around Milwaukee. I can not accurately value such real estate. As I said, much of it is closely tied to operating activities. However, buildings in urban areas can sometimes be converted to other uses. It hardly matters though. Journal Communications is likely to remain a going concern for some time, and as long as it does, it is unlikely to dispose of such assets. Valuation So, what is JRN worth? It’s hard to say. The current enterprise value is around $1 billion, which is clearly too low. My most conservative estimates for the publishing, broadcasting, and telecom businesses alone add up to $900 million. I think those are very conservative estimates. Using more reasonable estimates, I can not arrive at a value of less than $1.25 billion for JRN’s constituent parts. This is true whether I perform an intrinsic value analysis on the entire company, or apply some sort of earnings, sales, or EBITDA multiple to each business separately. Journal Communications is probably worth somewhere between $1.25 billion and $2 billion. I’m quite pessimistic about the newspaper business; therefore, I would lean towards the $1.25 billion figure (which assumes slightly declining revenues). Any sort of revenue growth would dramatically change the valuation. If such growth will occur, JRN is extremely undervalued at these levels. However, I’m not sure there will be any growth at all. Journal Communications voting structure will probably discourage the best course of action: breaking up the company. JRN should spin off the community newspapers, the TV stations, the radio stations, and the telecom business. The printing services and direct marketing businesses should also be disposed of in some way. These are really very different businesses. There are few good reasons for keeping them together, and many good reasons for separating them. Newspapers, radio, and TV all face different challenges. They need different managers who have complete control over capital allocation and who are compensated based on the performance of their business, not on the performance of a hodge-podge of various media properties. Breaking JRN up will make it easier to manage and will make it easier for current owners to dispose of their shares at more favorable prices should they wish to. If these businesses traded as five or six different public companies, it is very unlikely their combined market cap would be less than $1 billion. It may not even be necessary for them to be publicly traded. There might be buyers for such properties, if JRN’s properties were separated into common sense collections. But, none of this is likely to happen. Employees control JRN (they maintain control through the ownership of shares with disproportionate voting rights). No one interested in shaking things up will take a stake in this company, because he would be unable to impose his will. I can’t imagine management ever embarking on such a sweeping venture without some prodding from the outside. JRN has almost no downside. Sadly, it doesn’t seem to have a lot of upside either. There is a real danger investors will see their returns wither away as the time it takes to realize the value in Journal Communications proves costly. Time is the enemy of the investor who buys this kind of business at this kind of price. Objectively, I have to admit JRN is undervalued. But, I’m not sure it’s grossly undervalued – and I am sure there are better long term investments.
Sunday, September 25, 2016
Many ways to find perfect debt consolidation options
Many instances will arise when an individual will have several financial troubles and it may seem as if they cannot solve it. With the help of a good financial advisor as well as legal advisor, it can be sorted out. Debt consolidation is one way out of huge debts. With this method, all the existing loans can be brought under one roof. This means that one single lender will in charge of all the loans. What will happen is that the borrower will have to pledge his property with the lender for a certain amount of interest, after the amount of loan is calculated by the lender. The lender will then pay off all the existing loans. They could be personal loans, or car loans or even credit card bills. Once this is done, the borrower will be free from the pressure of many creditors. He then need not worry about the different monthly payments schedules as well as the amounts to be paid to different financial institutions. The single lender will answer all the existing creditors and will then pay them, as the borrower will be paying the debt consolidation lender in monthly installments. One benefit of this method is that the borrower will get more time to pay back the loan when compared to the other loans. The reason is because this is secured and so the lender has an assurance that he is safe, so he will naturally give the borrower more time to pay him back. There are also unsecured debt consolidation methods, but this is not too advisable as the interest rates may be high. With the debt consolidation method, the possibility of bankruptcy can be avoided. Not only that, by paying back the existing lenders on time and closing the loans, one can also build a better financial future. It allows the borrower to be in a position where in the future if he needs money, he will be able to apply for one. There are many financial advisors who will help the borrower select the right company, based on offers, and also the reliability of the company. The interest rates will also be weighed down from company to company. There will also be instant approval, as most of the time these loans are secured. The companies will be very professional and will maintain confidentiality with the files. The finance companies may also ask for the borrower to stop using credit cards, so that their payment will come on time, and also so that they can reduce the financial burden on the individual. Most of the creditors will not harass the individuals if they know that they are securing their property to pay off all the loans. A borrower must choose a very professional firm which does not hesitate to call on their situation to the creditors. There are also online forms available for borrowers from such companies.
Monday, September 19, 2016
Casino en ligne en toute securite
: Tout le monde souhaite кtre rassurй lorsqu'il commence а jouer sur un site de < a href=" casino-en-ligne-3.com">casino en ligne pour le fun ou pour de l'argent. En effet, qui ne s'est jamais posй les questions suivantes: " en ouvrant un compte sur ce casino, que va-t-il m'arriver? Les systиmes de paiements et les transactions via ma carte de crйdit sont ils fiables? Comment m'en assurer?" La sйcuritй reste donc l'йlйment essentiel а prendre en compte par le joueur avant d'effectuer quelque pari que ce soit. Comment donc pouvoir jouer en toute tranquillitй? Les casinos virtuels ont donc mis en place des logiciels de cryptage afin de prйserver la confidentialitй de vos donnйes bancaires personnelles. Les numйros de cartes de crйdit Les casinos en ligne sйcurisйs prennent des mesures pour protйger leurs joueurs. Certains sites Web utilisent des logiciels de cryptage pour protйger vos informations financiиres et ont pour йthique de prйserver vos donnйes personnelles. Assurez vous donc de la fiabilitй du site! Pour cela, vйrifiez que le site dispose d'une charte de prйsentation, gйnйralement connue sous la dйnomination " Qui sommes nous?" et contrфlez son йvaluation par des sites professionnels. Prenez le temps de lire chaque page du site concernant les moyens de paiement mis en place, les logiciels utilisйs mais aussi la disponibilitй de leur service client, que vous pouvez йgalement testez au prйalable en les contactant pour un problиme fictif et dйterminer ainsi leur temps de rйaction sur le casino dans lequel vous voulez vous inscrire. Les casinos en ligne les plus sйcurisйs sont les sites les mieux йtablis et reconnus par une instance officielle. Consultez la frйquentation d'un site donnй et vйrifiez les affiliations du site. Les sites rйputйs sont plus populaires et plus sыrs. Aprиs ce premier contrфle, vйrifiez que le site dispose de services non proposйs par des casinos en ligne de mauvaise rйputation. Assurez-vous que le casino propose une assistance client par chat, email ou tйlйphone non facturй. Dans le cas contraire, rendez vous sur un autre site. Vйrifiez aussi que ce casino dispose d'un contrфle et d'une politique а l'encontre de joueurs frauduleux. Certains sites dispose d'un systиme йvaluant le nombre de fois oщ deux joueurs jouent au mкme jeu. En cas de suspicion de tricherie, le site interdit la prйsence de ces derniers а vie. Si vous suspectez une tricherie, contactez le site web immйdiatement. Dans le cas oщ un site ne vous indique pas clairement quel logiciel est utilisй pour prйserver vos informations personnelles ou n'offre pas d'assistance, sortez immйdiatement. Inutile de prendre des risques inutiles. En cas de problиmes de dйconnexion rйpйtйes ou vous semblant suspectes, renseignez vous d'avantage. Inutile de se presser, beaucoup d'informations sont а votre disposition mais prenez surtout le temps de les lire toutes. Pour cela, commencer en simultanй de votre lecture а jouer en parties gratuites, le temps pour vous d'effectuer tous les contrфles nйcessaires et de vous familiariser avec le site en question.
Friday, September 16, 2016
Cheap credit card information for new users
A credit card assures a seller that the person using it has a satisfactory credit rating and that the issuer will see to it that the seller receives payment for the merchandise delivered. A credit card is usually a card made of plastic issued to a user by a credit card system. A credit card is different from a debit card in which the issuer lends the consumer money rather than having the money removed from an account. A credit card system is a system of retail transaction settlement and credit system, established by a credit card provider. There are numerous credit card providers all over the globe. In credit card system a user is issued a credit card after an account has been approved by the credit provider, with which they will be able to make purchases from merchants accepting that credit card up to a pre-established credit limit. The credit card user agrees to pay the card issuer for every single purchase by using a credit card. To accept credit card, a credit card user has to give his/her consent to pay specific amount of money. Originally the consent used to be by signing a receipt with a record of the card details and indicating the amount to be paid, but now many providers demand verbal authorizations via telephone and electronic authorization using the internet. A cheap credit card is the most frequently searched keyword on internet today. The credit card users all over the globe are always tracking the cheap credit card companies. A cheap credit card company provides card credit service in considerably cheap quotes.
Monday, September 12, 2016
Your holiday money could cost you dear
Lisa Taylor from moneyfacts. co. uk comments on the options available to travellers when spending overseas and the costs that consumers should be but are sometimes not aware of. “Whether planning a summer holiday or jetting off for Easter, consumers are keen to check the costs when it comes to choosing the hotel, flights, insurance, and airport parking, but tend not to use the same level of consideration when choosing the cheapest option when it comes to their spending money. “With each provider charging varying fees which are not immediately visible and often not fully appreciated by the consumer, it is a potential minefield to find the ‘best’ deal, and this becomes much worse as we consider the outside influence of exchange rates. “Consumers have three main options, the traditional travellers cheques and currency, debit cards or credit cards. Amex has also launched into the prepay card arena, with a card designed for overseas travel, but the rest of the industry is yet to catch on. “Traditional cheques and currency are still popular with many travellers and offer a competitive market place for providersmission free deals are becoming easier to find particularly for currency and currency travellers cheques, where there is still scope for profit by means of discounted exchange rates. “Unfortunately without plenty of leg work by the consumer, it proves a difficult market in which to compare deals. Providers offer varying commission deals, but without taking into consideration the exchange rate it is impossible to decipher the ‘best’ overall deal. Moneyfacts complies a full list of providers detailing charges, offers and delivery details, which can be found at moneyfacts. co. uk “The competitive nature of the market reinforces the message that there is profit to be made, even when offering 0% commission. Large institutions such as NatWest and HSBC are offering free prize draws as an means to entice customers to buy their holiday from them. “After finding their chosen provider, in many cases the consumer has a much more flexible choice, than was previously available, with the ability to order online, on the telephone and the option of home or branch delivery. But do beware; these do sometimes come at a cost. “Credit cards are becoming an increasingly popular method of payments and withdrawing cash abroad. Many of us do not realise that, when using a credit card abroad, the card issuer adds on a foreign usage loading; this can be as high as 2.75%. That means a consumer spending Ј1,000 abroad would be charged Ј27.50. “There are however a few exceptions to this rule within the market, including Nationwide and Saga who do not charge for usage anywhere in the world. “ In addition, if withdrawing cash overseas, consumers will also be charged a cash withdrawal fee, which can be as high as 2.5%. So withdrawing Ј1,000 cash could cost you as much as Ј52.50. “Debit cards also come attached with foreign loadings up to 2.75%, cash withdrawal fees and in some cases an additional per item charge for purchases, tucked away in the small print, giving customers a nasty surprise when the statement hits their door mat. Any consumer looking to rely solely on a debit card would be well advised to consider Nationwide, the only provider not to impose cash or purchase fees.”
Friday, September 9, 2016
Anatomy of a mortgage
Introduction Mortgages were the original home loan agreement. In many ways, the mortgage changed the real estate market completely and turned it on its head in a very good way. Before the advent of the mortgage, the only way for people to go out and get what they wanted in terms of property was to pay for it outright. Since very few people possessed the means back then to pay for property outright, the ownership rights were only there for pretty much the upper middle class and the upper class people; the middle class downwards were excluded from this very important thing. Mortgages changed all of that and to understand how profound a mortgage is, it is important to take a close look at exactly what a mortgage entails. Agreement The agreement for a mortgage is one that is the main point of everything else that follows. Under the agreement of a typical mortgage, the person has the ability to borrow money from the bank in order to pay for a house or a property. The amount of money they can borrow varies, but for the majority of banks it usually resolves itself towards being around 95% of the actual quoted value of the house. In exchange for getting this very large loan, the person then agrees to put the house up as collateral against that loan, so that the bank has some way to save itself in the event that the person is unable to pay that loan back. Interest Rates Now, whenever people think about loans, very likely the first thing that they think about is interest rates. There are a number of different interest rates involved in different loans, but when you compare the vast majority of them to what is available under a mortgage, what you find is that the vast majority of those interest rates don’t really match up. The average mortgage has an interest rate attached to it between 5% and 7% and the vast majority of loans that are available on the marketplace today, even if they happen to be secured loans, really can’t match up. Repayment Terms Just like with the interest rates, the repayment terms for a number of different mortgages are very impressive when put up against a number of other conventional loans. When you’re talking about unsecured loans (i. e. credit cards), then obviously there’s going to be no contest, but for the most part you will find that mortgage repayment terms are significantly easier to deal with than with most other loans. This is because (a) the collateral being used is extremely strong and (b) the term lengths are longer, so naturally that makes the monthly payments smaller. Fees There are some fees for mortgage payments relating to things like late payments and underpayments, but you will find for the most part that fees are not really that important in the grand scheme of the agreement itself. It is important to be aware of what fees are there, but most of the time you will see that they aren’t that big.